Strategic equilibrium in S Asia

Pakistan and India will have to pay heavy price if they engage themselves in a Nuclear-war and the war will be never confined to Pakistani or Indian territory. More than 20m people will be killed immediately, and approximately half of Ozone layer of the world would be affected with the vast monsoons and agricultural worldwide changes, if Pakistan and India fight nuclear-war with their 100 nuclear warheads. Each warhead is equivalent to a 15 Kiloton Hiroshima bomb with more powerful and more destructive outcomes. 70000 people would be injured, severely.

These facts have been disclosed by New York Times in May 27, 2002 issue. Security analysts and researches are perpetuating to endorse the figures in the recent Pak-India tension. According to the pentagon, if Pakistan and India fight a limited nuclear war, radioactivity rays would encircle the Asian continent spreading diseases and starvation on wider level and even America would not be capable to chock back the situation. A Pakistan invested $735m on weapons import in 2015 and china is the largest weapon provider supplier to Pakistan, then America. While India spent $3078m on weapon import in 2015. Russia, according to the International Peace Research Institute, has been a biggest largest weapon-supplier to India 1964 million dollars, then, Israel and then, America.

Members of Indian ruling party (BJP) underpins a nuclear attack on Pakistan, and Pakistan pledges to annihilate India in reaction. Two billion people, following the 2013 assessment of international physicians for the prevention of Nuclear war, would live up to the severe starvation and climatic effects and changes would aggravate the whole situation. According to the report of the Bulletin of the Atomic scientists, 110 to 130 nuclear war-heads have been included in Pakistan’s nuclear program. On the other hand, Indian nuclear program comprises on 110 to 120 nuclear war-heads. 66% part of Pakistan’s nuclear weapon is based on ballistic missiles and many of them include 86 land based-ballistic missiles, Buttetin of the Atomic Scientists reveals.

Series of ballistic missiles have been mounted keeping expected Indian aggression in mind; 1) medium-range ballistic missiles (MRBMs) have ability to not only to target four major cities of India -Chennai, Bengaluru, New Delhi and Mumbai- but also major commands and arsenals of Indian army, 2) Ghaurimissile has the target range of 1300km including devastating capacity to Delhi, Jaipur, Ahmedabad, Mumbai, Lucknow, Bhoopal, Nagpur and Pune, 3) eight war-heads of Shaheen(Falcon) II can target Kolkata and others on the east coast with range of 2500km 16 warheads of short-range ballistic missiles.

While Indian nuclear-arsenal’s target ability can be summarized as; India has ability to target Islamabad, Lahore, Karachi, Rawalpindi and Nowshehra (Pakistani Army headquarters) using 56 Prithviand Agni, surface-to-surface ballistic missiles. Nuclear attack on Lahore and Karachi would affect Indian and Afghan borders. Major cities of Pakistan- Lahore, Sialkot, Islamabad and Rawalpindi- would be hit through usage of 250km Prithvi SRBPM. Almost all Pakistani cities such as Gwadar, Islamabad, Quetta. Karachi, Peshawar, Multan, Rawalpindi and Lahore would be covered by 20 nuclear tripped Agni I and eight Agni-II intermediate range ballistic-missiles, with long range ability would not only be directed to Pakistan but also China.

Thus, the Pak-India nuclear war would not be restricted to two countries, it would include all regional and world’s dominant nations in the war which would be WW III, end of human civilization and generation, actually.

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